Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Who is the favorite in the NFC North?

The NFC North will be very different in 2009. New acquisitions like Jay Cutler and Matt Stafford, and big changes like the Packers' 3-4 defense will all be intruiging this season. With the exception of the Lions, I see this division being up for grabs between the Pack, Bears, and Vikings. 

Starting with last years NFC North Champs, the Minnesota Vikings are looking to get another title under their belts and get back into the playoffs this season. The Vikings are continuing to add weapons to their offense except at the QB position, and that will be the area that will be in question for the Queens this season. Tavaris Jackson is still expected to be the Week 1 starter, with Rosenfels waiting in the wings. I expect that either QB will be better suited this season with targets, especially newly acquired Percy Harvin who will be a threat whenever he is on the field. However, the well being of the Vikings will still remain in the hands of Adrien Peterson running the ball. If he can stay healthy and have success running the ball, the Vikings will be tough to stop. I predict, based on the toughest schedule in the division that the Vikings end up at 10-6.

The Chicago Bears finished 2nd in the North last season and have very high asperations for 2009 with the arrival of Jay Cutler. Bears fans are very excited for this season and really expect Cutler to be their franchise QB for a long time to come. The Bears have greatly increased their chances by picking up Cutler, but there are still some holes that exist, most notably, at reciever and at safety. The Bears have picked up a couple recievers in the draft, but at this point, Greg Olson, Devin Hester, and Matt Forte will be Cutlers main targets throwing the ball. It is difficult to say how the Bears will be this season, they have improved their offense and gotten a great DE in the draft, but they have a thin secondary and Brian Urlacher is not what he used to be at MLB. Given the Bears schedule for the season, i'm predicting them to be just behind the Vikings at 9-7.

Next we have the Green Bay Packers. The Pack finished 3rd in the North last season following the 2007-08 season where they advanced to the NFC Championship Game and had a regular season record of 13-3 behind the arm of Brett Favre. I believe that the Packers still have the talent throughout their roster to win the North in deciding fashion. However, poor defensive play in 2008, a young QB, and a switch to a new defensive scheme in 2009 makes me hesitant about putting the Packers atop the division. Aaron Rodgers showed that he could lead the team and be the quarterback of future for the Pack and I only expect him to get better as his career goes along. The Packers have talent in their offensive skill positions but are not very strong on the offensive line. I don't believe that the concern for the Pack is with their offense, but rather their defense. Last season, injuries plagued the defensive secondary, which lead to the biggest weakness on the team. The Packers have added B.J. Raji at nose tackle, and Clay Matthews at OLB.  These two picks greatly improves the front 7 and gives the Pack one of the best linebacking corps in the league. I think that if the veteran defensive backs can stay consistent, the Packers defense will be great. My heart tells me the Pack can end the season at the top at 11-5, but my head tells me they will under achieve again at 8-8. 

The Detroit Lions don't have what it takes to challenge for the title and I will leave it at that!

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